You’ve got to admire Gartner, they’ll go out on a limb. In a forecast released last week they predict that the Android mobile operating system will have a global market share of 14%. That will exceed that of iPhone, Windows Mobile, and BlackBerry. Only Symbian OS (that powers Nokia’s devices) will have a larger market share.
This bold prognostication is based on a number of factors but largely on the power and flexibility Google can bring to bear, the multi-tasking capabilities the OS will afford the user, and how this will facilitate both communications and the use of applications.
What a world we live in when players such as Apple and Google can enter an established marketplace like the mobile OS world and quickly become dominant players. One should remember, however, that in such a rapidly changing marketplace almost anything could happen in 3 years – and Apple, Microsoft, and RIM aren’t likely to sit back and watch as Android erodes their standing. Who knows, even Symbian might find an effective counterpunch. Check back in 3 years.